Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.009356 0.011172 0.013396 0.016372 0.020331 0.025545 0.033153
2025-03-09 0.006923 0.008951 0.011742 0.016028 0.022778 0.033683 0.054385
2025-03-16 0.005834 0.007956 0.011116 0.016482 0.026134 0.044741 0.090520
2025-03-23 0.005034 0.007128 0.010433 0.016491 0.028610 0.055865 0.142527
2025-03-30 0.004338 0.006303 0.009535 0.015793 0.029369 0.063963 0.203067
2025-04-06 0.003859 0.005737 0.008937 0.015455 0.030719 0.074814 0.306314
2025-04-13 0.003575 0.005443 0.008749 0.015859 0.034008 0.094990 0.560749
2025-04-20 0.003411 0.005323 0.008848 0.016896 0.039564 0.131420 1.389457
2025-04-27 0.003228 0.005142 0.008792 0.017561 0.044547 0.175961 4.139183
2025-05-04 0.003007 0.004862 0.008487 0.017538 0.047375 0.217036 14.037212
2025-05-11 0.002814 0.004612 0.008203 0.017494 0.050195 0.268231 111.281348
2025-05-18 0.002606 0.004311 0.007769 0.016940 0.050780 0.305887 10610.038000
2025-05-25 0.002374 0.003960 0.007224 0.016086 0.050304 0.342666 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002203 0.003715 0.006889 0.015776 0.052299 0.427650 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002100 0.003595 0.006814 0.016222 0.058487 0.642030 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001983 0.003433 0.006615 0.016230 0.062604 0.900601 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001842 0.003208 0.006236 0.015548 0.062248 1.056026 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001734 0.003042 0.005979 0.015217 0.063962 1.373161 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001671 0.002966 0.005933 0.015612 0.071183 2.414558 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001639 0.002953 0.006046 0.016627 0.084932 6.664124 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001593 0.002905 0.006058 0.017278 0.097430 22.460550 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001526 0.002802 0.005911 0.017255 0.103886 71.745879 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001463 0.002705 0.005769 0.017212 0.110474 497.625406 NaN